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For all the fans of Bill Simmons, Scott Van Pelt, or Colin Cowherd out there, we’ve been crunching the numbers for you on their gambling picks. Here is the 2014 ESPN Braintrust's final leaderboard for the of the regular season of NFL & College Football.

SVP and Cowherd only pick against the spread, so I assumed $1K per bet and -110 odds. To make it apples to apples, here are their winning percentages on only spread bets for this season:

Bill Simmons: 0.526, 30-24-3
Scott Van Pelt: 0.512, 42-39-1
Colin Cowherd: 0.476, 40-42-2

While Bill has the advantage here by actually incorporating wager amounts into his bit, here are the ROI rankings: https://app.gohedgetracker.com/groups/5fd8efce9d4745001726022e

Interesting tidbits from the analysis:

Bill
- BS was doing pretty good before tanking hard the last couple weeks
- Teasers (-26% ROI) and parlay (-25% ROI) were the main cause of a negative result
- Spread (+2.2% ROI) and moneyline (+120% ROI) bets were positive on the year
- Performs much better on favorites (+18% ROI) than dogs (-26% ROI)
- Has made the most betting on the Rams (+44% ROI), least on the Cowboys (-100% ROI)
- Has made the most betting against the Eagles (+91% ROI), least against the Bills (-54% ROI)
- Bill's full dashboard: https://app.gohedgetracker.com/insights/use5fa40a5d27cf0c0017e2797b
SVP
- Primarily focuses on college football (-5% ROI), but does better on NFL (+6% ROI)
- SVP's main thing is betting on college dogs, but is actually negative on the year on dogs (-3% ROI), positive on favorites (3% ROI)
- He is much better on home teams (+4% ROI), than away (-13% ROI)
- Has lost the most betting against Texas A&M, otherwise spreads his bets around too much to learn a ton about his tendencies on teams
- SVP's full dashboard: https://app.gohedgetracker.com/insights/use5fd817059d474500172601d6
Colin
- Cowherd’s record was impeccable on the 4 teams he bets on the most - Dolphins, Bucs, Rams & Bills (16-4-1, +50% ROI)
- Has made the most betting on the Bills (91% ROI), lost the most on the Falcons (-100% ROI)
- Has made the most betting against the Chargers (73% ROI), lost the most against the Saints (-100% ROI)
- Performs better on home teams (+8% ROI) than away teams (-25% ROI)
- Colin's full dashboard: https://app.gohedgetracker.com/insights/use5fd968e506d00e00177fe857

submitted by hedgetracker to sportsbook [link] [comments]

If you have ever listened to Bill Simmons, Scott Van Pelt, or Colin Cowherd make gambling picks based on their strong gut feelings, you've probably wondered how they've fared over time. We crunched the numbers for you, here it is. The 2014 ESPN brain trust head to head to head in 2020.

SVP and Cowherd only pick against the spread, so I assumed $1K per bet and -110 odds. To make it apples to apples, here are their winning percentages on only spread bets for this season:

Bill Simmons: 0.531, 26-21-2
Scott Van Pelt: 0.512, 42-39-1
Colin Cowherd: 0.486, 34-34-2

While Bill has the advantage here by actually incorporating wager amounts into his bit, here are the ROI rankings:
Group rankings
Full group here: https://app.gohedgetracker.com/groups/5fd8efce9d4745001726022e

Interesting tidbits from the analysis:

Bill
- The main thing holding him back is his performance on teasers (-26% ROI)
- Moneyline (120% ROI) and parlay (27% ROI) bets are the reason he's positive on the year
- Performs much better on favorites (24% ROI) than dogs (-26% ROI)
- Has made the most betting on the Rams (54% ROI), least on the Cowboys (-100% ROI)
- Has made the most betting against the Seahawks (58% ROI), least against the Bills (-54% ROI)
- Bill's full dashboard: https://app.gohedgetracker.com/insights/use5fa40a5d27cf0c0017e2797b
SVP
- Primarily focuses on college football (-5% ROI), but does better on NFL (6% ROI)
- SVP's main thing is betting on college dogs, but is actually negative on the year on dogs (-3% ROI), positive on favorites (3% ROI)
- He is much better on home teams (4% ROI), than away (-13% ROI)
- Has lost the most betting against Texas A&M, otherwise spreads his bets around too much to learn a ton about his tendencies on teams
- SVP's full dashboard: https://app.gohedgetracker.com/insights/use5fd817059d474500172601d6
Colin
- No surprise here, has wagered the most on the Bucs, only 3-2-1 on them though
- Has made the most betting on the Bills (91% ROI), lost the most on the Falcons (-100% ROI)
- Has made the most betting against the Chargers (73% ROI), lost the most against the Saints (-100% ROI)
- Performs better on dogs (1.4% ROI) than favorites (-10% ROI)
- Colin's full dashboard: https://app.gohedgetracker.com/insights/use5fd968e506d00e00177fe857

submitted by hedgetracker to sportsbetting [link] [comments]